Katja Kanapin, Ritu Gulati, Kristine Herkströter
What futurology?
was a preliminary explanation of what is futurology. It is the science of the future, in analogy to the history as a science of the past. Futurology was founded by Ossip Kurt Flechtheim and 1943 for the first time in the article "Teaching the future" mentioned. Flechtheim said: "The future is not configurable, it is already being influenced by their predictions. It is important to design a systematic and scientific methods to desirable results. "
futurology tried the positive possibilities of the future against the negative limitations of the past to enforce.
hotspots
The term hotspot findet in vielen Bereichen Verwendung. Geprägt wurde er hauptsächlich durch die Telekom. In diesem Zusammenhang versteht man darunter einen Internetzugriffspunkt. Über diesen Punkt kann man an verschiedenen öffentlichen Orten auf das Internet zugreifen (z.B. in Kneipen, Flughäfen, Universität). Im Bereich der Gentechnik findet diese Begrifflichkeit ebenfalls Verwendung. DNA-Stellen werden als Hotspots bezeichnet. An diesen Stellen findet besonders häufig ein Austausch von Basenpaaren statt. Außerdem wird der Begriff Hotspot im Bereich der Geologie verwendet. Gemeint ist damit das Zentrum vulkanischer Aktivität. Diese Erklärung kommt den hier gemeinten Hotspots am nächsten. Besser ausgedrückt handelt es sich bei Hotspots um the center of current research
.
The steam engine (1769), the discovery of penicillin (1928) or of nanotechnology (1959 first mentioned) is important hot spots of the past. Other major hotspots for example, were the invention of the automobile, the Internet, vaccines or the computer.
Today, nanotechnology, biotechnology and information technology on the rise. The future development is, however, meaning that it brings together the fields here. Everything is small, computers are equipped with artificial intelligence, biological computers are built and simulated human qualities with it. An example of a hotspot of the future is the "Smart house". About the developer of the intelligent home can open up a variety of sources. In this context
we come to the Siemens and Microsoft. Different functions in your home can be started via SMS, e-mail or telephone. These communication media serve as a remote control. The devices in the house are connected to a private network. This allows communication between previously independent devices and systems is possible. Not only the owner can get in touch with his property, but also the
property with the owner. If problems arise, can solve the problem of the residents directly by phone, email or SMS.
In the Web 3.0 handelt sich um einen weiteren Hotspot. Zurzeit ist das Web 3.0 noch „Zukunftsmusik“, an der Verwirklichung wird jedoch gearbeitet. Beim Web 3.0 wird die Semantik der Inhalte festgelegt. Daten werden verstanden und es kann entsprechend gehandelt werden. Man könnte von einem intelligenten Web sprechen. Dem Internet soll die Verarbeitung und Verknüpfung hinsichtlich der Bedeutung beigebracht werden. Mit dieser künstlichen Intelligenz könnten Suchmaschinen unter Umständen überflüssig werden. Das könnte zum Beispiel wie folgt aussehen:
Man möchte Urlaub an einem warmen Ort machen und das zur Verfügung stehende Budget liegt bei 1000€. Eine weitere Bedingung ist, dass das Haustier mit verreisen soll. Das intelligente Web searches in a step the right "solution." A well-planned vacation package is the result.
The topic can be viewed critically. From recent developments, there are already negative effects. Future developments already solved from criticism. Man is always "transparent". Examples that illustrate this fact are biometric passports, surveillance cameras, and checks on personal Internet activities.
Conclusion: Increase
Future hotspots such as the intelligent house or nanotechnology, the quality of life. We also get a performance increase by miniaturization (eg, see the new Cell phones). By nanotechnology and biomedicine man reached a higher life expectancy. Medical progress makes life easier. At this point we can draw on the quote from Flechtheim. "It is important to design a systematic and scientific methods to desirable results."
discussion
Following a discussion took place on the subject.
It was about possible sources that give a good overview of the topic. It was noted that although there are many sources, but these are often of websites of various companies. Therefore, a sensitive treatment of the sources is essential. Information should be questioned, since long-term forecasts can be made difficult. A total of futurology is an interesting, but critical to be considered science.
Often laymen create better forecasts. Predictions about the future of "confounding variables" tainted. The person often has no influence on it. Man can make up to a certain extent its future, in some ways he remains "the mercy of nature."
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